Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter. Yield-curve inversion is the most fun recession indicator. This is mostly because of the still-inexplicable ...

Since the U.S. yield curve first inverted in December (I wrote about it the day it happened – read here) – I’ve seen mainstream financial media pundits shrug it off. They’ve highlighted that the U.S.

For a few months in 2019, the yield curve inverted and warned of a potential recession. Towards the end of 2021, it happened again. And throughout 2022, the inverted yield curve has looked more and ...

The yield curve plots the current yield of a range of government notes and bonds in the “primary market.” The worldwide bond market – including private and government debt — currently represents about ...

Things that'll be "different this time" usually aren't, especially when it comes to hot stoves, hot steering wheels, and hot bond markets. Touch 'em and you'll get burned, or so goes the thinking.

What is a yield curve? The yield curve is a graphical representation of the gap between interest rates on short and long-term US government bonds, known as treasuries. In fact, all countries have a ...

The US yield curve is looking very interesting indeed. In normal times, yield curves slope upwards: investors are compensated with higher returns when they lock away money over the long term. This is ...