If you happened to glance in on the New York Stock Exchange today, you’d notice most of the people in there look a little stressed. What’s causing such obvious signs of tension? Well, something called ...

For a few months in 2019, the yield curve inverted and warned of a potential recession. Towards the end of 2021, it happened again. And throughout 2022, the inverted yield curve has looked more and ...

Since the U.S. yield curve first inverted in December (I wrote about it the day it happened – read here) – I’ve seen mainstream financial media pundits shrug it off. They’ve highlighted that the U.S.

Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter. Yield-curve inversion is the most fun recession indicator. This is mostly because of the still-inexplicable ...

Inverted yield curves are like the Mothman sightings which are usually seen as a warning signal of impending economic slowdown possibly leading to a recession. This was the case during the 2007 real ...

The inverted yield curve—a recession indicator with a decades-long track record of accuracy—has evolved beyond serving as a warning of a future downturn and now sways the economy, its creator said.

The yield curve has been a reliable predictor of US recessions over the last four decades. Each time the yield curve has inverted, the US economy has entered a downturn within 18 months. At the start ...

While you'd be hard-pressed not to encounter some startling headline on yield curve inversions over recent sessions, with speculators heralding doom and gloom and an imminent recession. But what does ...

Learn how market segmentation theory shapes interest rates and yield curves, influencing your bond market decisions for ...

Indeed. It's a bit complex, but bear with me, as this is a widely followed and important indicator, based on the yields of Government bonds. First, some basics. The yield on an investment is the ...