The Basic Curve The basic probability curve looks like an anthill. Here, the X axis represents potential outcomes from worst to best, going left to right. The Y axis represents the probability of ...

I've delved into this topic a few times without further elaboration, so I thought I'd spend time today trying (and most likely failing) to make what may be a fairly esoteric point. It is this: Not ...

Karen Clark & Company (KCC) has announced its open platform for catastrophe risk management is now a fully probabilistic loss estimation tool capable of generating exceedence probability (EP) curves, ...

A popular recession forecasting tool now shows its highest reading since 1981, signaling a high probability of a downturn in the next 12 months. The S&P 500 declined by an average of 31% during the ...