Common ordinal models, including the ordered logit model and the continuation ratio model, are formulated by a common score (ie, a linear combination of given explanatory variables) plus rank-specific ...

Here’s how an AI-powered trader earned $2.2 million on Polymarket using data models, automation and probability-based trading ...

Probability is a measure of the likelihood of events happening. The greater the proportion of times an event can happen the greater (or more likely) the probability. Events can be ordered by the ...

Traders in bonds and credit default swaps are bombarded with information on the default probabilities implied by credit spreads using a simple ratio. This ratio predicts that the credit spread will be ...

Astronomers say 3I/ATLAS is so unusual that it is forcing a rethink of probability distributions used to model interstellar ...

What is the probability of a US recession? UBS Research uses a variety of recession variability models to predict the likelihood of the US heading into a recession. Read our three-part series to learn ...

The NBA playoffs are almost here, with the play-in tournament tipping off later tonight. But while the regular season was careening toward a dramatic finish, we were hard at work creating a live ...